Forecast National Fire Danger Rating System indexes

Forecast for 13:00 2016-06-25

**Local agency personnel should contact MIFC Fire Intelligence if errors or omissions are observed.**

Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Agassiz 13 154 168 11 12 15 20 7G1P3 8 7 23 31 5 High
7L1P3 1 1 0 1 1 Low
7Q1P3 5 5 20 26 3 Moderate
Badoura 13 143 119 10 11 14 19 7G1P3 11 8 27 36 5 High
7J1P3 14 17 104 95 3 Moderate
7L1P3 2 2 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 7 6 22 28 3 Moderate
Baudette 10 158 130 12 12 14 20 7G1P3 7 5 23 27 5 High
7J1P3 8 12 94 78 3 Moderate
7L1P3 1 1 0 1 1 Low
7Q1P3 4 4 20 23 3 Moderate
Bigstone 17 117 91 9 12 13 16 7G1P3 21 15 35 53 5 Very High
7L1P3 14 37 1 17 2 Low
Brainerd 15 140 145 12 21 14 18 7E1P3 8 9 8 21 2 Low
7G1P3 7 9 24 34 5 High
7L1P3 0 1 0 1 1 Low
7Q1P3 5 7 14 24 2 Low
Camp Ripley/Little Falls 12 133 115 10 12 13 18 7G1P3 12 8 30 37 5 High
7J1P3 15 16 109 94 3 Moderate
7L1P3 2 2 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 8 6 23 29 3 Moderate
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Carlos Avery 11 70 113 10 12 14 18 7G1P3 12 8 27 36 5 High
7L1P3 2 3 0 2 1 Low
7N1P3 15 69 15 74 4 Moderate
7Q1P3 14 21 27 56 3 Moderate
Cass Lake 14 145 122 12 21 15 19 7C1P3 3 2 0 3 2 Low
7G1P3 8 8 22 33 2 Low
7N1P3 6 23 5 27 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 5 6 13 23 2 Low
Detroit Lakes 13 129 103 10 10 13 17 7G1P3 13 9 33 41 5 High
7L1P3 3 4 0 4 1 Low
7Q1P3 9 9 26 38 3 Moderate
Ely 11 152 163 11 11 15 20 7G1P3 9 6 24 29 3 Moderate
7I1P3 12 21 167 130 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 6 5 21 25 2 Low
Hibbing 12 160 147 12 12 15 21 7G1P3 8 6 22 29 5 High
7J1P3 10 15 92 84 3 Moderate
7L1P3 1 1 0 1 1 Low
7Q1P3 5 5 20 25 3 Moderate
Kittson 14 150 131 12 13 14 19 7E1P3 9 8 10 23 2 Low
7G1P3 8 8 24 34 5 High
7L1P3 1 1 0 1 1 Low
7Q1P3 5 6 19 27 3 Moderate
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Litchfield 11 70 137 10 12 14 19 7G1P3 11 7 27 34 5 High
7L1P3 2 2 0 2 1 Low
7N1P3 15 69 15 74 3 Moderate
MN Valley 11 134 97 10 13 15 18 7E1P3 13 8 12 25 3 Moderate
7G1P3 11 8 28 36 5 High
7N1P3 11 40 11 50 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 7 6 22 28 3 Moderate
Moose Lake 14 145 135 11 12 14 19 7E1P3 11 8 11 24 3 Moderate
7G1P3 10 8 26 36 5 High
7L1P3 1 1 0 1 1 Low
7Q1P3 6 6 21 28 3 Moderate
Mora 11 132 118 10 14 14 17 7G1P3 10 7 29 34 5 High
7L1P3 2 2 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 6 5 21 26 3 Moderate
Redstn 14 70 103 10 11 14 17 7G1P3 14 12 31 45 5 High
7L1P3 3 4 0 4 1 Low
Rice Lake 15 152 153 12 21 15 20 7G1P3 7 8 20 31 5 High
7L1P3 1 1 0 1 1 Low
7N1P3 5 25 5 27 2 Low
7Q1P3 5 6 13 23 2 Low
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Roseau 14 165 143 12 12 14 21 7E1P3 9 8 10 22 2 Low
7G1P3 8 8 21 31 5 High
7L1P3 1 1 0 1 1 Low
7Q1P3 5 6 20 26 3 Moderate
Seagull Lake 9 155 183 11 10 13 20 7G1P3 8 4 25 26 3 Moderate
7I1P3 10 17 178 121 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 5 4 23 23 2 Low
Sherburne 11 151 134 10 12 15 19 7E1P3 11 6 11 21 3 Moderate
7G1P3 10 6 24 30 5 High
7N1P3 10 33 11 45 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 6 5 20 25 3 Moderate
St. Croix 14 130 116 11 11 14 17 7G1P3 11 9 30 40 3 Moderate
7J1P3 12 18 108 99 3 Moderate
7L1P3 2 2 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 6 7 22 31 3 Moderate

Definitions

MSGC

Indicates the fuel model, slope class, grass type, and climate class. For example, 7L1P3 indicates the 1978 version of the fuel model L, slope class 1, perennial grass, and climate class 3.

Wind Speed (WS)

Wind speed measured at a height of 20 feet, averaged over a 10-minute period.

Woody Fuel Moisture (Woody FM)

Fuel moisture in live woody vegetation.

Herbaceous Fuel Moisture (Herb. FM)

Fuel moisture in live herbaceous vegetation.

Ignition Component (IC)

Ignition Component relates the probability that a fire requiring suppression action will result if a firebrand is introduced into a fine fuel complex. The ignition component can range from 0 when conditions are cool and damp, to 100 on days when the weather is dry and windy. Theoretically, on a day when the ignition component registers a 60, approximately 60% of all fire brands that come into contact with wildland fuels will require suppression action.

Spread Component (SC)

Spread Component (SC) is the forward rate of spread at the head of the fire in feet per minute in a given fuel model. The inputs required to calculate the SC are wind speed, slope, fine fuel moisture (including the effects of green herbaceous plants), and the moisture content of the foliage and twigs of living, woody plants.

Energy Release Component (ERC)

Energy Release Component is a calculated field which provides a relative index of the amount of heat (in BTUs) per unit area (ft2) within the flaming front at the head of a fire. The ERC is very sensitive to fuel model characteristics - loading, compaction, particle size, heat of combustion and mineral content. The condition of the larger fuels has a greater influence on the ERC than the finer fuels. The scale for ERC values is open ended.

Burning Index (BI)

Burning Index relates the potential amount of effort needed to contain a single fire in a particular fuel type. Dividing Burning Index by 10 gives an approximate estimate of flame length in feet at the head of a fire. Burning Index is fuel model dependent.

1/10/100/1000-Hour Fuel Moisture

Dead fuel moisture content in fuel that takes the given number of hours to lose or gain 63% of the difference between the dead fuel itself and the surrounding atmosphere.

Staffing Level (SL)