Forecast National Fire Danger Rating System indexes

Forecast for 13:00 2016-04-29

**Local agency personnel should contact MIFC Fire Intelligence if errors or omissions are observed.**

Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Agassiz 8 70 7 7 7 12 21 7G1P3 22 9 28 38 5 Very High
7L1P3 23 59 3 34 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 25 22 44 72 5 Very High
Badoura 6 70 7 7 7 12 18 7G1P3 18 7 35 37 5 High
7J1P3 18 10 142 84 3 Moderate
7L1P3 18 40 3 29 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 21 17 45 64 5 Very High
Baudette 6 70 7 7 7 11 19 7G1P3 19 7 34 37 5 High
7J1P3 19 10 143 85 4 Moderate
7L1P3 19 40 3 29 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 21 17 46 65 5 Very High
Bigstone 10 87 38 9 14 22 24 7G1P3 13 9 12 27 5 High
7L1P3 14 69 2 28 3 Moderate
Brainerd 7 86 38 7 8 14 24 7E1P3 22 8 21 32 3 Moderate
7G1P3 19 7 22 31 5 High
7L1P3 20 48 3 30 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 20 17 38 58 4 High
Camp Ripley/Little Falls 7 84 35 8 10 17 22 7G1P3 14 7 21 29 5 High
7J1P3 14 10 99 73 3 Moderate
7L1P3 15 46 2 26 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 15 16 33 54 3 Moderate
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Carlos Avery 6 84 35 10 17 21 22 7G1P3 9 5 16 23 5 High
7L1P3 9 34 2 19 3 Moderate
7N1P3 9 30 12 45 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 10 14 22 41 3 Moderate
Cass Lake 5 70 6 6 8 14 24 7C1P3 21 7 14 25 5 Very High
7G1P3 19 6 22 28 2 Low
7N1P3 19 31 21 60 5 High
7Q1P3 22 15 41 57 3 Moderate
Detroit Lakes 6 84 33 7 8 15 21 7G1P3 18 6 26 31 5 High
7L1P3 19 40 3 28 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 20 15 40 57 4 High
Ely 4 70 7 7 9 13 19 7G1P3 14 5 31 30 3 Moderate
7I1P3 14 10 211 103 2 Low
7Q1P3 16 12 41 52 4 Moderate
Hibbing 5 70 7 7 10 13 21 7G1P3 16 6 27 30 5 High
7J1P3 16 8 119 72 3 Moderate
7L1P3 15 32 3 25 2 Low
7Q1P3 18 14 40 56 5 High
Kittson 7 70 6 6 7 11 19 7E1P3 27 9 23 35 3 Moderate
7G1P3 23 8 36 40 5 Very High
7L1P3 24 51 4 34 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 26 20 47 71 5 Very High
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Litchfield 8 83 34 10 17 21 21 7G1P3 9 7 16 27 5 High
7L1P3 10 48 2 22 3 Moderate
7N1P3 10 41 11 51 3 Moderate
MN Valley 6 84 33 10 18 24 22 7E1P3 10 6 13 22 3 Moderate
7G1P3 8 5 13 21 5 High
7N1P3 8 30 11 43 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 9 14 19 38 3 Moderate
Moose Lake 8 79 26 7 10 13 18 7E1P3 23 10 21 35 3 Moderate
7G1P3 20 9 33 40 5 Very High
7L1P3 21 59 3 34 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 22 20 40 66 5 Very High
Mora 7 85 36 8 11 16 22 7G1P3 13 7 21 29 5 High
7L1P3 14 45 2 26 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 15 16 33 54 3 Moderate
Redstn 11 84 37 10 12 22 21 7G1P3 11 10 17 33 5 High
7L1P3 12 73 2 26 3 Moderate
Rice Lake 8 85 36 8 10 14 22 7G1P3 17 8 23 33 5 High
7L1P3 18 56 3 30 3 Moderate
7N1P3 17 43 18 64 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 18 19 35 60 4 Moderate
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Roseau 8 70 7 7 8 11 19 7E1P3 23 10 21 36 3 Moderate
7G1P3 20 9 33 41 5 Very High
7L1P3 21 58 3 33 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 23 22 44 72 5 Very High
Seagull Lake 4 70 7 7 9 12 19 7G1P3 12 4 31 29 3 Moderate
7I1P3 12 10 212 102 2 Low
7Q1P3 14 12 41 52 4 Moderate
Sherburne 7 84 35 9 16 19 22 7E1P3 12 7 15 26 3 Moderate
7G1P3 11 6 18 27 5 High
7N1P3 11 36 13 50 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 12 16 24 47 3 Moderate
St. Croix 8 86 37 7 10 14 23 7G1P3 18 8 21 32 3 Moderate
7J1P3 18 12 107 82 3 Moderate
7L1P3 19 56 3 31 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 19 19 35 59 4 Moderate

Definitions

MSGC

Indicates the fuel model, slope class, grass type, and climate class. For example, 7L1P3 indicates the 1978 version of the fuel model L, slope class 1, perennial grass, and climate class 3.

Wind Speed (WS)

Wind speed measured at a height of 20 feet, averaged over a 10-minute period.

Woody Fuel Moisture (Woody FM)

Fuel moisture in live woody vegetation.

Herbaceous Fuel Moisture (Herb. FM)

Fuel moisture in live herbaceous vegetation.

Ignition Component (IC)

Ignition Component relates the probability that a fire requiring suppression action will result if a firebrand is introduced into a fine fuel complex. The ignition component can range from 0 when conditions are cool and damp, to 100 on days when the weather is dry and windy. Theoretically, on a day when the ignition component registers a 60, approximately 60% of all fire brands that come into contact with wildland fuels will require suppression action.

Spread Component (SC)

Spread Component (SC) is the forward rate of spread at the head of the fire in feet per minute in a given fuel model. The inputs required to calculate the SC are wind speed, slope, fine fuel moisture (including the effects of green herbaceous plants), and the moisture content of the foliage and twigs of living, woody plants.

Energy Release Component (ERC)

Energy Release Component is a calculated field which provides a relative index of the amount of heat (in BTUs) per unit area (ft2) within the flaming front at the head of a fire. The ERC is very sensitive to fuel model characteristics - loading, compaction, particle size, heat of combustion and mineral content. The condition of the larger fuels has a greater influence on the ERC than the finer fuels. The scale for ERC values is open ended.

Burning Index (BI)

Burning Index relates the potential amount of effort needed to contain a single fire in a particular fuel type. Dividing Burning Index by 10 gives an approximate estimate of flame length in feet at the head of a fire. Burning Index is fuel model dependent.

1/10/100/1000-Hour Fuel Moisture

Dead fuel moisture content in fuel that takes the given number of hours to lose or gain 63% of the difference between the dead fuel itself and the surrounding atmosphere.

Staffing Level (SL)