Forecast National Fire Danger Rating System indexes

Forecast for 13:00 2016-07-29

**Local agency personnel should contact MIFC Fire Intelligence if errors or omissions are observed.**

Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Agassiz 3 159 161 9 12 16 20 7G1P3 7 2 22 16 5 High
7L1P3 8 16 2 15 2 Low
7Q1P3 7 4 25 24 3 Moderate
Badoura 3 154 121 9 10 16 20 7G1P3 8 2 24 18 5 High
7J1P3 10 5 108 55 2 Low
7L1P3 3 2 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 5 2 23 16 3 Moderate
Baudette 4 136 96 9 11 14 18 7G1P3 9 3 30 24 5 High
7J1P3 11 6 114 62 3 Moderate
7L1P3 7 9 1 8 1 Low
7Q1P3 8 4 26 25 3 Moderate
Bigstone 9 142 105 8 12 17 19 7G1P3 14 6 26 30 5 High
7L1P3 5 5 0 4 1 Low
Brainerd 4 168 150 9 12 19 21 7E1P3 8 2 12 13 2 Low
7G1P3 8 2 18 17 5 High
7L1P3 3 2 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 5 2 18 15 2 Low
Camp Ripley/Little Falls 4 155 127 8 11 17 20 7G1P3 9 2 23 19 5 High
7J1P3 13 6 103 60 3 Moderate
7L1P3 3 2 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 6 2 22 17 3 Moderate
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Carlos Avery 4 139 103 9 11 16 18 7G1P3 9 3 28 22 5 High
7L1P3 4 4 0 4 1 Low
7N1P3 8 13 13 33 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 6 3 24 21 3 Moderate
Cass Lake 4 146 112 8 12 16 19 7C1P3 4 1 3 4 2 Low
7G1P3 10 3 26 21 1 Low
7N1P3 9 13 13 32 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 6 2 22 18 1 Low
Detroit Lakes 4 158 117 9 12 17 20 7G1P3 8 2 22 19 5 High
7L1P3 10 22 2 18 2 Low
7Q1P3 8 5 25 27 3 Moderate
Ely 2 148 144 7 11 15 19 7G1P3 9 2 26 17 2 Low
7I1P3 12 7 184 78 2 Low
7Q1P3 5 1 23 14 2 Low
Hibbing 2 145 115 8 11 15 19 7G1P3 8 2 26 18 5 High
7J1P3 10 4 108 50 3 Moderate
7L1P3 2 1 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 4 1 23 14 3 Moderate
Kittson 4 151 119 9 12 15 20 7E1P3 8 2 12 14 2 Low
7G1P3 8 2 25 20 5 High
7L1P3 3 2 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 5 2 22 17 3 Moderate
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Litchfield 5 145 130 9 11 16 19 7G1P3 9 3 25 22 5 High
7L1P3 3 2 0 2 1 Low
7N1P3 9 16 13 35 2 Low
MN Valley 4 136 89 10 13 16 18 7E1P3 7 3 13 15 2 Low
7G1P3 7 3 28 23 5 High
7N1P3 6 13 11 30 2 Low
7Q1P3 4 2 21 18 3 Moderate
Moose Lake 4 163 139 9 12 17 21 7E1P3 8 2 12 13 2 Low
7G1P3 8 2 20 18 5 High
7L1P3 3 2 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 5 2 20 16 3 Moderate
Mora 3 157 132 9 11 17 20 7G1P3 8 2 22 17 5 High
7L1P3 2 2 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 5 2 21 15 3 Moderate
Redstn 5 133 101 9 12 16 18 7G1P3 9 3 28 24 5 High
7L1P3 4 5 0 4 1 Low
Rice Lake 3 167 148 8 13 17 21 7G1P3 8 2 20 16 5 High
7L1P3 2 1 0 2 1 Low
7N1P3 6 8 12 24 2 Low
7Q1P3 5 1 19 14 3 Moderate
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Roseau 3 146 108 9 13 15 19 7E1P3 7 2 13 13 1 Low
7G1P3 7 2 26 19 5 High
7L1P3 3 2 0 3 1 Low
7Q1P3 4 2 21 16 3 Moderate
Seagull Lake 1 142 149 7 10 15 19 7G1P3 8 1 28 16 3 Moderate
7I1P3 11 5 197 72 2 Low
7Q1P3 5 1 25 13 2 Low
Sherburne 4 151 120 9 11 16 20 7E1P3 9 2 13 14 2 Low
7G1P3 9 2 24 20 5 High
7N1P3 8 12 13 31 2 Low
7Q1P3 5 2 21 17 3 Moderate
St. Croix 4 168 143 8 12 19 21 7G1P3 9 2 19 17 3 Moderate
7J1P3 12 6 88 55 2 Low
7L1P3 3 2 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 5 2 19 15 3 Moderate

Definitions

MSGC

Indicates the fuel model, slope class, grass type, and climate class. For example, 7L1P3 indicates the 1978 version of the fuel model L, slope class 1, perennial grass, and climate class 3.

Wind Speed (WS)

Wind speed measured at a height of 20 feet, averaged over a 10-minute period.

Woody Fuel Moisture (Woody FM)

Fuel moisture in live woody vegetation.

Herbaceous Fuel Moisture (Herb. FM)

Fuel moisture in live herbaceous vegetation.

Ignition Component (IC)

Ignition Component relates the probability that a fire requiring suppression action will result if a firebrand is introduced into a fine fuel complex. The ignition component can range from 0 when conditions are cool and damp, to 100 on days when the weather is dry and windy. Theoretically, on a day when the ignition component registers a 60, approximately 60% of all fire brands that come into contact with wildland fuels will require suppression action.

Spread Component (SC)

Spread Component (SC) is the forward rate of spread at the head of the fire in feet per minute in a given fuel model. The inputs required to calculate the SC are wind speed, slope, fine fuel moisture (including the effects of green herbaceous plants), and the moisture content of the foliage and twigs of living, woody plants.

Energy Release Component (ERC)

Energy Release Component is a calculated field which provides a relative index of the amount of heat (in BTUs) per unit area (ft2) within the flaming front at the head of a fire. The ERC is very sensitive to fuel model characteristics - loading, compaction, particle size, heat of combustion and mineral content. The condition of the larger fuels has a greater influence on the ERC than the finer fuels. The scale for ERC values is open ended.

Burning Index (BI)

Burning Index relates the potential amount of effort needed to contain a single fire in a particular fuel type. Dividing Burning Index by 10 gives an approximate estimate of flame length in feet at the head of a fire. Burning Index is fuel model dependent.

1/10/100/1000-Hour Fuel Moisture

Dead fuel moisture content in fuel that takes the given number of hours to lose or gain 63% of the difference between the dead fuel itself and the surrounding atmosphere.

Staffing Level (SL)