Forecast National Fire Danger Rating System indexes

Forecast for 13:00 2016-09-24

**Local agency personnel should contact MIFC Fire Intelligence if errors or omissions are observed.**

Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Agassiz 17 171 163 12 13 19 22 7G1P3 8 9 16 30 5 High
7L1P3 6 31 1 14 2 Low
7Q1P3 5 9 18 32 3 Moderate
Badoura 13 143 99 14 15 17 19 7G1P3 4 8 22 33 5 High
7J1P3 5 15 76 77 3 Moderate
7L1P3 0 0 0 0 1 Low
7Q1P3 2 6 16 25 2 Low
Baudette 13 158 105 12 12 16 20 7G1P3 7 8 22 32 5 High
7J1P3 8 16 89 86 4 Moderate
7L1P3 1 2 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 4 6 19 26 3 Moderate
Bigstone 17 160 113 15 24 22 21 7G1P3 5 10 12 27 5 High
7L1P3 0 0 0 0 1 Low
Brainerd 11 180 150 14 20 19 23 7E1P3 4 5 6 14 2 Low
7G1P3 3 5 12 20 5 High
7L1P3 0 0 0 0 1 Low
7Q1P3 2 4 10 16 2 Low
Camp Ripley/Little Falls 10 163 123 15 21 19 21 7G1P3 3 5 14 21 5 High
7J1P3 3 11 48 53 2 Low
7L1P3 0 0 0 0 1 Low
7Q1P3 1 4 9 16 1 Low
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Carlos Avery 9 157 109 14 19 19 20 7G1P3 4 5 17 23 5 High
7L1P3 0 1 0 1 1 Low
7N1P3 3 13 5 21 2 Low
7Q1P3 2 4 12 17 2 Low
Cass Lake 12 142 96 13 14 17 19 7C1P3 3 3 2 7 3 Moderate
7G1P3 6 8 24 33 2 Low
7N1P3 4 25 8 34 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 3 6 17 25 2 Low
Detroit Lakes 16 146 94 15 19 18 19 7G1P3 5 10 19 35 5 High
7L1P3 0 1 0 1 1 Low
7Q1P3 3 9 14 28 2 Low
Ely 11 154 127 11 13 16 20 7G1P3 8 6 22 29 3 Moderate
7I1P3 10 21 151 123 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 5 5 19 24 2 Low
Hibbing 10 153 110 12 13 17 20 7G1P3 6 6 21 28 5 High
7J1P3 8 12 83 73 3 Moderate
7L1P3 1 2 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 4 4 17 22 3 Moderate
Kittson 17 145 101 12 14 16 19 7E1P3 10 13 10 28 3 Moderate
7G1P3 9 12 24 40 5 High
7L1P3 1 3 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 5 8 18 30 3 Moderate
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Litchfield 10 169 144 14 21 21 22 7G1P3 4 5 13 20 5 High
7L1P3 0 0 0 0 1 Low
7N1P3 2 13 5 20 1 Low
MN Valley 10 165 107 14 21 20 21 7E1P3 5 6 7 16 2 Low
7G1P3 5 5 14 22 5 High
7N1P3 3 14 5 21 1 Low
7Q1P3 3 4 10 17 2 Low
Moose Lake 8 161 126 14 15 18 21 7E1P3 3 4 8 14 2 Low
7G1P3 3 4 18 21 5 High
7L1P3 0 0 0 0 1 Low
7Q1P3 2 3 14 18 2 Low
Mora 8 181 145 14 20 19 23 7G1P3 3 4 12 17 5 High
7L1P3 2 8 0 5 1 Low
7Q1P3 2 4 12 18 2 Low
Redstn 15 152 105 17 25 19 20 7G1P3 0 0 15 0 5 High
7L1P3 0 0 0 0 1 Low
Rice Lake 10 187 150 13 14 18 24 7G1P3 4 5 13 20 5 High
7L1P3 0 0 0 1 1 Low
7N1P3 3 13 7 24 2 Low
7Q1P3 2 4 14 18 2 Low
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Roseau 15 142 89 13 13 15 19 7E1P3 7 11 10 27 3 Moderate
7G1P3 6 11 25 39 5 High
7L1P3 1 2 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 4 8 19 30 3 Moderate
Seagull Lake 10 161 145 11 13 17 21 7G1P3 7 5 20 26 3 Moderate
7I1P3 9 19 144 115 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 4 4 18 22 2 Low
Sherburne 9 195 150 14 21 20 24 7E1P3 3 4 6 12 2 Low
7G1P3 3 4 8 15 5 High
7N1P3 2 11 4 18 1 Low
7Q1P3 2 3 9 14 2 Low
St. Croix 9 164 130 13 19 19 21 7G1P3 4 5 16 21 2 Low
7J1P3 6 11 59 58 2 Low
7L1P3 0 1 0 1 1 Low
7Q1P3 3 4 12 17 2 Low

Definitions

MSGC

Indicates the fuel model, slope class, grass type, and climate class. For example, 7L1P3 indicates the 1978 version of the fuel model L, slope class 1, perennial grass, and climate class 3.

Wind Speed (WS)

Wind speed measured at a height of 20 feet, averaged over a 10-minute period.

Woody Fuel Moisture (Woody FM)

Fuel moisture in live woody vegetation.

Herbaceous Fuel Moisture (Herb. FM)

Fuel moisture in live herbaceous vegetation.

Ignition Component (IC)

Ignition Component relates the probability that a fire requiring suppression action will result if a firebrand is introduced into a fine fuel complex. The ignition component can range from 0 when conditions are cool and damp, to 100 on days when the weather is dry and windy. Theoretically, on a day when the ignition component registers a 60, approximately 60% of all fire brands that come into contact with wildland fuels will require suppression action.

Spread Component (SC)

Spread Component (SC) is the forward rate of spread at the head of the fire in feet per minute in a given fuel model. The inputs required to calculate the SC are wind speed, slope, fine fuel moisture (including the effects of green herbaceous plants), and the moisture content of the foliage and twigs of living, woody plants.

Energy Release Component (ERC)

Energy Release Component is a calculated field which provides a relative index of the amount of heat (in BTUs) per unit area (ft2) within the flaming front at the head of a fire. The ERC is very sensitive to fuel model characteristics - loading, compaction, particle size, heat of combustion and mineral content. The condition of the larger fuels has a greater influence on the ERC than the finer fuels. The scale for ERC values is open ended.

Burning Index (BI)

Burning Index relates the potential amount of effort needed to contain a single fire in a particular fuel type. Dividing Burning Index by 10 gives an approximate estimate of flame length in feet at the head of a fire. Burning Index is fuel model dependent.

1/10/100/1000-Hour Fuel Moisture

Dead fuel moisture content in fuel that takes the given number of hours to lose or gain 63% of the difference between the dead fuel itself and the surrounding atmosphere.

Staffing Level (SL)