Forecast NFDRS fire danger indexes

Forecast for 13:00 2018-05-23

**Local agency personnel should contact MNCC Fire Intelligence if errors or omissions are observed.**

Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Agassiz 10 101 63 7 10 13 18 7G1P3 23 9 33 42 5 Very High
7L1P3 23 59 2 28 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 23 19 35 60 4 High
Badoura 10 70 8 8 11 13 18 7G1P3 21 11 32 44 5 Very High
7J1P3 20 15 118 93 3 Moderate
7L1P3 23 75 3 34 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 24 27 38 73 4 High
Baudette 7 102 63 7 10 13 18 7G1P3 21 7 32 35 5 Very High
7J1P3 23 11 127 85 4 High
7L1P3 20 36 2 23 2 Low
7Q1P3 21 14 36 52 4 High
Bigstone 13 103 76 9 12 13 16 7G1P3 17 11 34 47 5 High
7L1P3 14 49 1 21 2 Low
Brainerd 10 96 61 10 13 12 16 7E1P3 14 10 14 29 3 Moderate
7G1P3 12 9 36 42 5 High
7L1P3 12 51 1 21 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 12 19 29 54 3 Moderate
Camp Ripley/Little Falls 10 97 61 9 12 13 16 7G1P3 14 9 36 43 5 High
7J1P3 15 14 118 90 3 Moderate
7L1P3 15 54 2 23 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 15 19 32 57 3 Moderate
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Carlos Avery 7 99 65 10 12 14 17 7G1P3 10 6 33 33 5 High
7L1P3 9 30 1 16 3 Moderate
7N1P3 10 32 13 48 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 11 13 29 45 3 Moderate
Cass Lake 8 96 54 8 11 13 17 7C1P3 18 8 9 22 5 High
7G1P3 17 7 33 38 5 High
7N1P3 17 39 16 58 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 18 16 34 55 2 Low
Detroit Lakes 12 102 73 9 11 12 16 7G1P3 19 11 37 47 5 High
7L1P3 18 56 2 24 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 19 21 33 62 4 Moderate
Ely 4 70 6 6 9 12 20 7G1P3 21 5 32 31 3 Moderate
7I1P3 22 11 220 110 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 24 12 44 55 3 Moderate
Hibbing 7 70 8 8 12 14 19 7G1P3 18 7 31 36 5 High
7J1P3 18 11 115 79 3 Moderate
7L1P3 19 46 3 28 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 21 19 37 62 4 High
Kittson 10 117 87 7 10 13 18 7E1P3 27 9 18 31 3 Moderate
7G1P3 24 8 33 40 5 Very High
7L1P3 20 37 2 21 2 Low
7Q1P3 23 16 33 53 3 Moderate
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Litchfield 9 110 83 10 13 15 17 7G1P3 12 7 29 35 5 High
7L1P3 10 31 1 15 2 Low
7N1P3 12 39 13 52 3 Moderate
MN Valley 8 104 74 10 13 13 17 7E1P3 12 7 14 24 3 Moderate
7G1P3 10 6 32 34 5 High
7N1P3 10 35 13 50 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 11 13 27 44 3 Moderate
Moose Lake 6 72 14 9 12 13 17 7E1P3 16 7 18 27 3 Moderate
7G1P3 14 6 34 35 5 High
7L1P3 14 36 2 23 2 Low
7Q1P3 16 16 36 56 4 Moderate
Mora 7 95 59 9 12 12 16 7G1P3 12 6 37 36 5 High
7L1P3 12 35 2 19 2 Low
7Q1P3 13 14 32 49 3 Moderate
Redstn 13 148 148 12 25 19 22 7G1P3 8 7 13 24 5 High
7L1P3 1 1 0 1 1 Low
Rice Lake 8 72 14 9 13 13 17 7G1P3 16 8 34 40 5 High
7L1P3 17 53 2 27 3 Moderate
7N1P3 16 47 16 63 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 18 21 35 62 4 Moderate
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Roseau 8 117 93 7 10 14 18 7E1P3 21 6 17 25 2 Moderate
7G1P3 19 6 31 34 5 High
7L1P3 15 24 2 16 2 Low
7Q1P3 19 12 31 45 3 Moderate
Seagull Lake 3 70 4 4 8 12 19 7G1P3 26 5 35 31 3 Moderate
7I1P3 27 10 242 110 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 28 11 48 53 4 High
Sherburne 7 104 72 9 12 13 17 7E1P3 13 6 15 24 3 Moderate
7G1P3 11 6 33 33 5 High
7N1P3 11 31 14 49 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 12 12 29 44 3 Moderate
St. Croix 7 85 39 9 12 13 17 7G1P3 14 7 35 36 4 Moderate
7J1P3 14 10 116 77 3 Moderate
7L1P3 15 43 2 23 2 Low
7Q1P3 15 16 34 54 4 Moderate

Definitions

MSGC

Indicates the fuel model, slope class, grass type, and climate class. For example, 7L1P3 indicates the 1978 version of the fuel model L, slope class 1, perennial grass, and climate class 3.

Wind Speed (WS)

Wind speed measured at a height of 20 feet, averaged over a 10-minute period.

Woody Fuel Moisture (Woody FM)

Fuel moisture in live woody vegetation.

Herbaceous Fuel Moisture (Herb. FM)

Fuel moisture in live herbaceous vegetation.

Ignition Component (IC)

Ignition Component relates the probability that a fire requiring suppression action will result if a firebrand is introduced into a fine fuel complex. The ignition component can range from 0 when conditions are cool and damp, to 100 on days when the weather is dry and windy. Theoretically, on a day when the ignition component registers a 60, approximately 60% of all fire brands that come into contact with wildland fuels will require suppression action.

Spread Component (SC)

Spread Component (SC) is the forward rate of spread at the head of the fire in feet per minute in a given fuel model. The inputs required to calculate the SC are wind speed, slope, fine fuel moisture (including the effects of green herbaceous plants), and the moisture content of the foliage and twigs of living, woody plants.

Energy Release Component (ERC)

Energy Release Component is a calculated field which provides a relative index of the amount of heat (in BTUs) per unit area (ft2) within the flaming front at the head of a fire. The ERC is very sensitive to fuel model characteristics - loading, compaction, particle size, heat of combustion and mineral content. The condition of the larger fuels has a greater influence on the ERC than the finer fuels. The scale for ERC values is open ended.

Burning Index (BI)

Burning Index relates the potential amount of effort needed to contain a single fire in a particular fuel type. Dividing Burning Index by 10 gives an approximate estimate of flame length in feet at the head of a fire. Burning Index is fuel model dependent.

1/10/100/1000-Hour Fuel Moisture

Dead fuel moisture content in fuel that takes the given number of hours to lose or gain 63% of the difference between the dead fuel itself and the surrounding atmosphere.

Staffing Level (SL)