Forecast NFDRS fire danger indexes

Forecast for 13:00 2018-07-18

**Local agency personnel should contact MNCC Fire Intelligence if errors or omissions are observed.**

Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Agassiz 9 122 93 8 11 14 16 7G1P3 18 7 34 37 5 High
7L1P3 15 28 1 16 2 Low
7Q1P3 17 12 28 44 3 Moderate
Badoura 7 140 119 9 12 15 18 7G1P3 12 4 27 27 5 High
7J1P3 15 10 104 73 3 Moderate
7L1P3 3 2 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 8 3 22 22 3 Moderate
Baudette 7 124 90 8 12 14 16 7G1P3 16 5 33 32 5 High
7J1P3 18 11 117 79 3 Moderate
7L1P3 13 21 1 14 2 Low
7Q1P3 15 9 28 38 3 Moderate
Bigstone 10 140 119 11 13 15 18 7G1P3 10 6 27 31 5 High
7L1P3 2 2 0 2 1 Low
Brainerd 7 134 105 9 11 15 18 7E1P3 13 4 14 20 2 Low
7G1P3 12 5 30 29 5 High
7L1P3 5 4 0 4 1 Low
7Q1P3 9 5 24 27 3 Moderate
Camp Ripley/Little Falls 6 140 113 9 13 15 18 7G1P3 10 4 27 25 5 High
7J1P3 12 8 102 67 3 Moderate
7L1P3 3 3 0 3 1 Low
7Q1P3 6 3 21 20 3 Moderate
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Carlos Avery 4 143 115 8 11 15 19 7G1P3 10 3 27 22 5 High
7L1P3 4 3 0 3 1 Low
7N1P3 9 13 14 33 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 6 2 23 18 3 Moderate
Cass Lake 6 132 113 9 11 14 17 7G1P3 12 4 31 27 5 High
7N1P3 12 22 14 42 2 Low
7Q1P3 9 4 25 26 2 Low
Detroit Lakes 9 130 103 9 12 15 17 7G1P3 14 6 30 33 5 High
7L1P3 5 5 1 4 1 Low
7Q1P3 10 7 24 31 3 Moderate
Ely 4 142 113 7 12 15 18 7G1P3 12 3 28 22 3 Moderate
7I1P3 16 10 187 96 2 Low
7Q1P3 9 3 24 20 2 Low
Hibbing 5 147 122 9 12 15 19 7G1P3 10 3 26 22 5 High
7J1P3 13 7 105 64 3 Moderate
7L1P3 3 2 0 2 1 Low
7Q1P3 6 2 22 19 3 Moderate
Kittson 9 113 79 8 12 14 15 7E1P3 21 8 16 28 3 Moderate
7G1P3 19 7 37 40 5 High
7L1P3 17 36 2 20 2 Low
7Q1P3 19 14 30 49 3 Moderate
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Litchfield 6 200 150 10 12 16 28 7G1P3 7 3 9 14 5 High
7L1P3 2 1 0 2 1 Low
7N1P3 5 7 10 21 2 Low
MN Valley 4 146 116 9 12 14 19 7E1P3 8 2 13 14 2 Low
7G1P3 8 3 27 21 5 High
7N1P3 7 12 12 30 2 Low
7Q1P3 5 2 22 17 3 Moderate
Moose Lake 4 139 103 8 11 15 18 7E1P3 11 3 15 16 2 Low
7G1P3 11 3 29 23 5 High
7L1P3 6 6 1 6 1 Low
7Q1P3 8 3 25 23 3 Moderate
Mora 4 133 105 9 12 15 18 7G1P3 10 3 30 23 5 High
7L1P3 5 4 1 4 1 Low
7Q1P3 8 3 24 22 3 Moderate
Rice Lake 5 143 111 9 12 15 19 7G1P3 11 3 27 23 5 High
7L1P3 4 3 0 3 1 Low
7N1P3 10 16 13 36 2 Low
7Q1P3 7 3 23 19 3 Moderate
Roseau 7 120 93 8 12 14 16 7E1P3 19 5 16 23 2 Low
7G1P3 17 5 35 33 5 High
7L1P3 14 20 1 14 2 Low
7Q1P3 17 10 29 40 3 Moderate
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Seagull Lake 4 140 126 7 11 14 18 7G1P3 13 3 30 22 3 Moderate
7I1P3 17 10 202 101 2 Low
7Q1P3 10 3 26 22 3 Moderate
Sherburne 4 141 113 8 11 15 18 7E1P3 10 2 14 15 2 Low
7G1P3 10 3 28 22 5 High
7N1P3 10 13 14 33 2 Low
7Q1P3 7 2 24 18 3 Moderate
St. Croix 4 144 118 8 11 15 19 7G1P3 10 3 27 21 3 Moderate
7J1P3 13 6 111 62 3 Moderate
7L1P3 4 2 0 3 1 Low
7Q1P3 7 2 23 18 3 Moderate

Definitions

MSGC

Indicates the fuel model, slope class, grass type, and climate class. For example, 7L1P3 indicates the 1978 version of the fuel model L, slope class 1, perennial grass, and climate class 3.

Wind Speed (WS)

Wind speed measured at a height of 20 feet, averaged over a 10-minute period.

Woody Fuel Moisture (Woody FM)

Fuel moisture in live woody vegetation.

Herbaceous Fuel Moisture (Herb. FM)

Fuel moisture in live herbaceous vegetation.

Ignition Component (IC)

Ignition Component relates the probability that a fire requiring suppression action will result if a firebrand is introduced into a fine fuel complex. The ignition component can range from 0 when conditions are cool and damp, to 100 on days when the weather is dry and windy. Theoretically, on a day when the ignition component registers a 60, approximately 60% of all fire brands that come into contact with wildland fuels will require suppression action.

Spread Component (SC)

Spread Component (SC) is the forward rate of spread at the head of the fire in feet per minute in a given fuel model. The inputs required to calculate the SC are wind speed, slope, fine fuel moisture (including the effects of green herbaceous plants), and the moisture content of the foliage and twigs of living, woody plants.

Energy Release Component (ERC)

Energy Release Component is a calculated field which provides a relative index of the amount of heat (in BTUs) per unit area (ft2) within the flaming front at the head of a fire. The ERC is very sensitive to fuel model characteristics - loading, compaction, particle size, heat of combustion and mineral content. The condition of the larger fuels has a greater influence on the ERC than the finer fuels. The scale for ERC values is open ended.

Burning Index (BI)

Burning Index relates the potential amount of effort needed to contain a single fire in a particular fuel type. Dividing Burning Index by 10 gives an approximate estimate of flame length in feet at the head of a fire. Burning Index is fuel model dependent.

1/10/100/1000-Hour Fuel Moisture

Dead fuel moisture content in fuel that takes the given number of hours to lose or gain 63% of the difference between the dead fuel itself and the surrounding atmosphere.

Staffing Level (SL)