Forecast NFDRS fire danger indexes

Forecast for 13:00 2018-11-17

**Local agency personnel should contact MNCC Fire Intelligence if errors or omissions are observed.**

Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Agassiz 10 70 11 11 13 20 23 7G1P3 9 10 15 30 5 High
7L1P3 9 61 2 24 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 10 26 26 60 3 Moderate
Badoura 7 70 10 10 12 20 24 7G1P3 9 7 13 24 5 High
7J1P3 9 10 75 62 2 Low
7L1P3 10 42 2 23 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 11 18 28 53 3 Moderate
Baudette 9 70 11 11 12 20 25 7G1P3 8 9 12 26 5 High
7J1P3 8 12 70 66 3 Moderate
7L1P3 8 53 2 22 2 Low
7Q1P3 9 23 26 57 3 Moderate
Bigstone 10 70 13 13 18 22 24 7G1P3 5 9 10 23 5 High
7L1P3 3 25 1 11 2 Low
Brainerd 8 70 9 9 12 18 24 7E1P3 13 9 16 30 3 Moderate
7G1P3 11 8 16 27 5 High
7L1P3 11 51 2 26 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 13 21 30 59 3 Moderate
Camp Ripley/Little Falls 7 70 9 9 10 18 26 7G1P3 11 7 13 24 5 High
7J1P3 11 10 85 67 3 Moderate
7L1P3 12 44 2 25 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 13 19 32 57 3 Moderate
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Carlos Avery 6 70 10 10 14 18 25 7G1P3 7 6 13 21 5 High
7L1P3 7 32 2 18 3 Moderate
7N1P3 8 34 14 51 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 9 16 26 48 3 Moderate
Cass Lake 8 70 10 10 12 19 25 7C1P3 9 10 9 23 5 High
7G1P3 8 8 13 25 3 Moderate
7N1P3 8 47 15 62 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 9 21 27 55 2 Low
Detroit Lakes 8 70 11 11 13 20 23 7G1P3 7 7 15 26 5 High
7L1P3 7 43 1 19 2 Low
7Q1P3 8 20 26 54 3 Moderate
Ely 7 70 17 17 11 24 24 7G1P3 0 0 8 0 1 Low
7I1P3 0 0 81 0 1 Low
7Q1P3 0 0 16 0 2 Low
Hibbing 8 70 10 10 12 18 24 7G1P3 8 8 16 27 5 High
7J1P3 8 11 80 67 3 Moderate
7L1P3 8 47 2 22 2 Low
7Q1P3 10 21 29 57 3 Moderate
Kittson 10 70 10 10 13 19 21 7E1P3 12 12 15 32 3 Moderate
7G1P3 10 10 19 33 5 High
7L1P3 11 66 2 27 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 12 26 28 62 3 Moderate
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Litchfield 8 70 11 11 17 22 27 7G1P3 7 7 6 17 5 High
7L1P3 6 41 1 18 3 Moderate
7N1P3 7 46 12 54 3 Moderate
MN Valley 7 70 11 11 17 20 26 7E1P3 7 7 12 24 3 Moderate
7G1P3 6 6 9 19 5 High
7N1P3 7 40 12 50 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 8 18 21 46 3 Moderate
Moose Lake 7 70 9 9 12 17 26 7E1P3 12 8 17 28 3 Moderate
7G1P3 10 7 13 23 5 High
7L1P3 11 43 2 24 2 Low
7Q1P3 12 19 30 55 3 Moderate
Mora 7 70 10 10 10 16 24 7G1P3 9 7 17 27 5 High
7L1P3 9 42 2 23 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 11 18 33 57 3 Moderate
Redstn 10 70 13 13 17 22 27 7G1P3 5 9 6 19 5 High
7L1P3 4 26 1 12 2 Low
Rice Lake 7 70 9 9 12 18 27 7G1P3 10 7 12 22 5 High
7L1P3 11 43 2 24 3 Moderate
7N1P3 11 41 16 60 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 12 19 29 54 3 Moderate
Station WS Woody FM Herb. FM 1-Hr FM 10-Hr FM 100-Hr FM 1000-Hr FM MSGC IC SC ERC BI SL Rating
Roseau 11 70 10 10 13 20 23 7E1P3 12 13 15 34 3 Moderate
7G1P3 10 11 17 33 5 High
7L1P3 11 68 2 27 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 12 28 28 65 3 Moderate
Seagull Lake 8 70 17 17 12 23 28 7G1P3 0 0 4 0 1 Low
7I1P3 0 0 70 0 1 Low
7Q1P3 0 0 15 0 2 Low
Sherburne 7 70 10 10 14 17 26 7E1P3 10 8 15 27 3 Moderate
7G1P3 9 7 13 23 5 High
7N1P3 9 41 14 56 3 Moderate
7Q1P3 10 18 27 52 3 Moderate
St. Croix 7 70 9 9 11 16 25 7G1P3 10 7 15 25 2 Low
7J1P3 10 10 87 67 3 Moderate
7L1P3 10 43 2 24 2 Low
7Q1P3 12 19 32 56 4 Moderate

Definitions

MSGC

Indicates the fuel model, slope class, grass type, and climate class. For example, 7L1P3 indicates the 1978 version of the fuel model L, slope class 1, perennial grass, and climate class 3.

Wind Speed (WS)

Wind speed measured at a height of 20 feet, averaged over a 10-minute period.

Woody Fuel Moisture (Woody FM)

Fuel moisture in live woody vegetation.

Herbaceous Fuel Moisture (Herb. FM)

Fuel moisture in live herbaceous vegetation.

Ignition Component (IC)

Ignition Component relates the probability that a fire requiring suppression action will result if a firebrand is introduced into a fine fuel complex. The ignition component can range from 0 when conditions are cool and damp, to 100 on days when the weather is dry and windy. Theoretically, on a day when the ignition component registers a 60, approximately 60% of all fire brands that come into contact with wildland fuels will require suppression action.

Spread Component (SC)

Spread Component (SC) is the forward rate of spread at the head of the fire in feet per minute in a given fuel model. The inputs required to calculate the SC are wind speed, slope, fine fuel moisture (including the effects of green herbaceous plants), and the moisture content of the foliage and twigs of living, woody plants.

Energy Release Component (ERC)

Energy Release Component is a calculated field which provides a relative index of the amount of heat (in BTUs) per unit area (ft2) within the flaming front at the head of a fire. The ERC is very sensitive to fuel model characteristics - loading, compaction, particle size, heat of combustion and mineral content. The condition of the larger fuels has a greater influence on the ERC than the finer fuels. The scale for ERC values is open ended.

Burning Index (BI)

Burning Index relates the potential amount of effort needed to contain a single fire in a particular fuel type. Dividing Burning Index by 10 gives an approximate estimate of flame length in feet at the head of a fire. Burning Index is fuel model dependent.

1/10/100/1000-Hour Fuel Moisture

Dead fuel moisture content in fuel that takes the given number of hours to lose or gain 63% of the difference between the dead fuel itself and the surrounding atmosphere.

Staffing Level (SL)