HydroClim Minnesota for Early November 2013
A monthly electronic newsletter summarizing Minnesota's climate conditions and the resulting impact on water resources. Distributed on the first Thursday of the month.
State Climatology Office - DNR Division of Ecological and Water Resources, St. Paul
distributed: November 6, 2013 (early distribution)
What happened in October 2013:
- October rainfall totals were above historical averages in most Minnesota counties, especially central and southeast sections of the state. October precipitation was light along the Canadian border. For many Minnesota locales, October precipitation totals exceeded long-term averages by an inch or more. In some central and southeast Minnesota communities, October precipitation totals topped historical averages by two or more inches and eased drought concerns.
[see: October 2013 Precipitation Map | October 2013 Precipitation Departure Map | June 26-to-present precipitation maps | October 2013 Climate Summary Table]
- The heaviest rainfall event of October occurred on the 4th and 5th when a fall storm dropped two to six inches of rain on portions of southeast Minnesota. Heavy downpours led to mudslides, road washouts, and urban flooding in some communities.
[see: Heavy Rain - Early October]
- Average monthly temperatures for October in Minnesota were quite close to historical averages. Warm early-October weather was offset by cooler late-October readings. Extremes for the month ranged from a high of 86 degrees at Madison (Lac Qui Parle County) on the 1st, to a low of 8 degrees at Camp Norris (Lake of the Woods County) on the 29th.
[see: October 2013 Climate Summary Table]
Where we stand now:
- The November precipitation outlook indicates equal chances of below-normal, near-normal, or above-normal conditions throughout Minnesota. November precipitation normals range from around one inch in western Minnesota to over two inches in eastern sections of the state. The average date of the first enduring snow cover ranges from the first week of November in northeast Minnesota to the final week of November in south central counties.
[see: Climate Prediction Center 30-day Outlook | November Precipitation Normal Map]
- The November temperature outlook indicates equal chances of below-normal, near-normal, or above-normal conditions throughout Minnesota. Normal November high temperatures are in the mid-40s to upper 40s to start the month, dropping to the mid-20s to near 30 by month's end. Normal lows are in the upper 20s early in the month, falling into the mid-teens by late November.
[see: Climate Prediction Center 30-day Outlook | November Temperature Normal Map]
- The 90-day precipitation outlook for November through January offers equal chances of below-normal, near-normal, or above-normal conditions across Minnesota. The November through January temperature projection also calls for equal chances of below-normal, near-normal, or above-normal conditions for most Minnesota locales. The long-term temperature outlook for southeast Minnesota leans towards above-normal conditions.
[see: Climate Prediction Center 90-day Outlook]
- The National Weather Service produces long-range probabilistic river stage and discharge outlooks for the Red River, Minnesota River, and Mississippi River basins. These products address both high flow and low flow probabilities.
[see: National Weather Service - North Central River Forecast Center]
From the author:
Notes from around the state:
Upcoming dates of note:
Web sites featured in this edition:
- http://water.weather.gov/precip/ - National Weather Service, Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service
- http://climate.umn.edu - Minnesota Climatology Working Group, Minnesota DNR Eco/Water Resources and U of M Dept. of Soil, Water, and Climate
- http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx - National Weather Service Forecast Office - La Crosse
- http://www.drought.unl.edu - National Drought Mitigation Center
- http://www.rrbdin.org/rddss - Red River Basin Drought Decision Support System, International Water Institute
- http://water.usgs.gov - U.S. Geological Survey
- http://mndnr.gov/waters - Minnesota DNR Division of Ecological and Water Resources
- http://www.minnehahacreek.org - Minnehaha Creek Watershed District
- http://www.dnr.state.mn.us/lakefind - Minnesota DNR LakeFinder
- http://lwcb.ca - Lake of the Woods Control Board
- http://www.glerl.noaa.gov - NOAA, Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory
- http://www.nass.usda.gov - USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
- http://swroc.cfans.umn.edu - University of Minnesota, Southwest Research and Outreach Center, Lamberton
- http://sroc.cfans.umn.edu - University of Minnesota, Southern Research and Outreach Center, Waseca
- http://mndnr.gov/forestry - Minnesota Department of Natural Resources, Division of Forestry
- http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov - National Weather Service, Climate Prediction Center
- http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ncrfc - National Weather Service, North Central River Forecast Center
- http://wrc.umn.edu - University of Minnesota, Water Resources Center
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Greg Spoden, DNR Climatologist